Israel is currently engaged in a tense standoff along its borders with Lebanon and Iran, but analysts told Al Jazeera that the course of these conflicts depends less on Israel’s political leadership and more on decisions made by the United States and President Donald Trump. The observation comes as Washington extends its influence over regional developments.

U.S. envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner recently traveled to Pakistan for a new round of talks with Iran, but Israel was not included in those discussions. Meanwhile, President Trump announced a three-week extension of the ceasefire in Lebanon, even as Israel has repeatedly violated it. Analysts believe Trump’s influence is proving more decisive than that of Israeli leaders.

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and other top officials continue to describe Iran and Hezbollah as existential threats, yet observers note that control over the region’s situation now largely rests in Washington’s hands.