The Asian Development Bank (ADB) has projected Bangladesh’s economic growth at 4 percent for the 2025–26 fiscal year, according to its Asian Development Outlook released on Friday. The report noted that after 3.5 percent growth in 2024–25, GDP is expected to rise to 4.7 percent in the following year as consumption and investment recover amid reduced political uncertainty after the general election. The impact of Middle East conflicts on supply chains is expected to gradually ease.

ADB Country Director Ho Yun Jeong said Bangladesh faces a difficult economic situation influenced by global uncertainty, structural constraints, and external and financial pressures. He added that the new government’s reform program offers an opportunity to strengthen macroeconomic stability, restore private sector confidence, and support recovery through consistent policy and reforms.

The report also projected inflation near 9 percent this fiscal year, easing to 8.5 percent next year as external pressures decline. The current account deficit is expected at 0.5 percent of GDP, rising slightly to 0.6 percent due to higher imports and trade gaps, while remittance inflows remain stable.