Fresh protests have erupted across Iran, posing a potentially greater threat to the government than the 2022 unrest. Unlike that earlier wave, Arab states have remained largely silent this time. Their news outlets are giving little coverage, and officials appear nervous and reluctant to comment. The shift contrasts sharply with 2022, when Gulf-funded media showed sympathy for Iranian protesters and Arab diplomats privately welcomed Tehran’s troubles.

Two main reasons explain this silence. First, Iran’s regional power has diminished since October 2023, as Israel’s wars have crippled Tehran’s proxy network, including Hezbollah and Syrian allies. Second, Gulf governments fear instability. They worry that Iran’s collapse could unleash refugees, uncontrolled weapons, and regional chaos. The United States, under President Donald Trump, has also threatened action if Tehran kills protesters, adding to Arab anxiety about potential escalation.

Arab leaders now prefer stability over confrontation. They do not support Iran’s current regime but fear that its fall could worsen regional disorder. Their cautious silence reflects exhaustion from years of conflict and a desire to avoid new turmoil near their borders.