Shipping expert Lars Jensen has said that U.S. President Donald Trump’s announced blockade threat will likely affect only a very small number of ships. According to Jensen, even if the United States implements such a measure, the overall impact on maritime traffic will remain limited.

Jensen, the CEO of Vespucci Maritime, explained that the U.S. threat to act against ships paying tolls to Iran would not bring major changes, as those vessels were already at risk of U.S. sanctions. He noted that few ships currently use the route in question, and even fewer pay tolls to Iran. Most shipping companies, he added, are expected to monitor the situation for any temporary agreements before resuming normal operations.

Jensen emphasized that the safety of the route ultimately depends on trust between the United States and Iran, and the durability of any potential understanding between the two nations.