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Bangladesh is preparing for a national election on February 12, with opposition parties showing unprecedented street presence after years of suppression under ousted Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina. The Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP), led by Tarique Rahman, is contesting 292 of 300 parliamentary seats and is seen as the frontrunner. However, the Islamist Jamaat-e-Islami, once banned, is emerging as a strong challenger, allied with the youth-led National Change Party (NCP). Polls cited by Reuters suggest Jamaat could achieve its best-ever electoral performance, though it may not form a government alone.

Analysts say a clear verdict could restore political stability in the country of 175 million and reshape regional dynamics involving China and India. Since Hasina’s departure to New Delhi, China’s influence in Bangladesh has reportedly grown, while India is seeking closer ties with the BNP. Jamaat’s alliance partners have voiced concern over Indian dominance and held meetings with Chinese diplomats, though they deny foreign bias.

Observers note that voters are prioritizing corruption and economic issues over religious identity, with younger generations expected to play a decisive role in the outcome.

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