The Commonwealth Bank of Australia’s chief geopolitical analyst has warned that the ongoing Middle East conflict is likely to continue at least until June. According to the analyst, former U.S. President Donald Trump cannot unilaterally withdraw from the war against Iran, even if he wishes to do so.

Analyst Madison Cartwright explained that while tariff policy falls under the president’s special authority, the timeline for ending a war with Iran cannot be determined by one person alone. He cautioned against expecting Trump to back down at the last moment, as he sometimes did with trade policies.

The comments, reported by The Guardian, highlight the complexity of U.S. involvement in the Middle East and the constraints on unilateral decision-making in wartime situations.