A US intelligence report submitted to administration officials this week indicates that Iran could withstand the American naval blockade in the Strait of Hormuz for three to four months before facing a severe economic crisis. The Washington Post, citing four officials familiar with the matter, reported that the assessment raises new questions about President Donald Trump’s claims regarding the effectiveness of US military and economic pressure on Tehran.

According to the report, despite a week of US and Israeli strikes targeting Iran’s military infrastructure and arsenals, the country retains substantial ballistic missile capability. A US official said Iran still possesses about 75 percent of its pre-war mobile launchers and 70 percent of its missiles. Evidence also suggests that Iran has restored underground arsenals, repaired damaged missiles, and assembled new ones that were nearly ready at the start of the conflict.

Another US official indicated that Iran’s leadership appears more determined and confident in its ability to endure sanctions and military pressure longer than the CIA had previously forecast.