After voting concluded in the West Bengal Assembly election, six exit polls released on April 29, 2026, presented mixed outcomes. Four surveys suggested that the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) could form the state government for the first time, while two others projected a strong victory for the ruling Trinamool Congress (TMC) led by Mamata Banerjee. The state assembly has 294 seats, requiring 148 for a majority. According to Praja Poll, BJP might secure 178–208 seats and TMC 85–110. P-Mark estimated BJP at 150–175 and TMC at 118–138, while Matrix and Poll Diary also showed BJP ahead.

In contrast, Janamat Polls predicted TMC would win 195–205 seats, and Peoples Pulse gave it 177–187, indicating a possible third consecutive term for Banerjee’s party. All surveys agreed that the Left and Congress are likely to perform poorly again. Analysts noted BJP’s rapid rise in the past decade, citing its 2019 parliamentary gains and the party’s strong booth-level organization this year. The final results will be announced on May 4, clarifying who controls the Writers’ Buildings.

Exit polls are not always accurate, and the official outcome will determine the actual power balance in the state.