Regional power dynamics in the Middle East are shifting as a new Sunni alliance, led by Turkey and Egypt, quietly advances. Israeli strategic analyses cited by the platform Mida and based on research from the Gatestone Institute suggest that this evolving coalition could redefine Israel’s geopolitical environment. The report notes that while global attention remains on Iran, a parallel Sunni diplomatic process is gaining momentum with potential long-term effects on Israel, the United States, and the wider region.

According to the analysis, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan is actively strengthening cooperation among Sunni-majority nations, aiming not only to resolve past disputes but also to build a coordinated political and strategic bloc centered around Israel. Erdoğan’s February 2026 visits to Saudi Arabia and Egypt, followed by hosting Jordan’s King Abdullah II in Istanbul, are seen as key steps in this process. The report highlights a $350 million military framework agreement between Turkey and Egypt, covering joint arms production, intelligence sharing, and military exercises, with bilateral trade projected to reach $15 billion.

Strategically, Egypt’s control of the Suez Canal and its central role in North African and Mediterranean security could enhance the alliance’s effectiveness, potentially influencing maritime routes vital to Israel’s economy.