The International Crisis Group (ICG) is closely monitoring Bangladesh following the International Crimes Tribunal’s death sentence against former Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina. In an analytical commentary, ICG’s senior Bangladesh consultant Thomas Kean stated that Hasina’s return to Bangladesh appears highly unlikely. He noted that the verdict, linked to atrocities during the July–August 2024 protests that left around 1,400 people dead, has been largely welcomed domestically. The tribunal cited recorded conversations and witness testimonies implicating Hasina and former Home Minister Asaduzzaman Khan. However, Kean raised concerns about the fairness of the trial held in absentia, reflecting long-standing weaknesses in Bangladesh’s criminal justice system. He described the ruling’s political implications as far-reaching, suggesting that Hasina’s refusal to relinquish control of the Awami League could hinder the party’s political revival. The ICG urged both the interim government and the Awami League to avoid further violence ahead of the upcoming 13th national election.