A US intelligence assessment has concluded that Iran’s leadership remains intact and faces no imminent risk of collapse, despite nearly two weeks of airstrikes by the United States and Israel. Reuters reported the findings on March 12, 2026, citing sources familiar with the intelligence analysis. The report indicates that Iran’s ruling system continues to maintain control over its population and that internal cohesion remains strong.

According to the sources, the latest intelligence review was completed in recent days. Rising oil prices have increased political pressure on US President Donald Trump, who is expected to end the military campaign in Iran soon. The report also notes that even after the death of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei on the first day of the attacks, Iran’s religious leadership has remained unified. An Israeli official acknowledged in closed-door discussions that the war offers no guarantee of regime collapse in Iran.

The US Office of the Director of National Intelligence, the CIA, and the White House declined to comment on the report.