The conflict between the United States and Iran, launched under President Donald Trump with Israeli support, is nearing an end through a ceasefire agreement expected to be signed in Geneva later this week. Analysts describe the outcome as a major military, strategic, economic, and moral setback for Washington. The deal includes a 60-day ceasefire, reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, and withdrawal of the U.S. naval blockade, but omits any commitment from Iran to halt nuclear enrichment.

The White House has refused to release full details before the signing, while internal divisions have surfaced within the administration. Key negotiators Jared Kushner, Steve Witkoff, and Vice President JD Vance back the deal, but senior officials including Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth have voiced private objections. Republican figures have compared the accord to Barack Obama’s Iran deal, calling it a capitulation.

The war, which began in late February, has cost the U.S. an estimated $29 billion and severely depleted its munitions stockpiles. Over 3,000 Iranians and 13 U.S. soldiers have died, and Washington’s moral standing has been damaged by civilian casualties. Iran emerges strengthened regionally, while Trump faces political fallout at home.