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The Trump administration is considering a major policy shift toward Myanmar focused on rare earth minerals, potentially easing ties with the military junta to reduce China's control. Analysts warn this move could severely undermine efforts to repatriate Rohingya refugees, as human rights concerns are sidelined by strategic interests. Sanctions have already been lifted from junta allies, and new geopolitical strategies are in discussion. Aid shortages and worsening conditions in refugee camps further threaten the Rohingya's future and burden host communities in Bangladesh.

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