The Trump administration has imposed a 25% tariff on Indian imports, potentially reducing India’s GDP by up to 0.2%—an estimated ₹3.3 trillion loss. India has pushed back, refusing to allow U.S. agricultural and dairy imports due to domestic and religious concerns. The government remains firm on protecting farmers and small businesses. With agriculture employing nearly half the population, policy sensitivity is high. Bilateral trade reached $132 billion in 2024–25, but tensions have now escalated between the two economic partners.