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Iran has asserted firm control over the Strait of Hormuz, signaling it will not relinquish influence over the world’s most critical oil chokepoint. Analysts told CNBC that Tehran demonstrated its ability to block the route using limited missiles and drones, and that this leverage could outlast any potential deal with Washington. The U.S. and Iran remain far from an agreement, with recent missile exchanges underscoring ongoing hostilities. Experts warn that even a future accord would not strip Iran of its newfound energy weapon.

Tehran has formalized oversight through the newly formed Persian Gulf Strait Authority (PGSA), which verifies ship data and collects transit fees. The U.S. has sanctioned the PGSA and warned shipping companies against paying such tolls, though some traders reportedly reached secret arrangements to maintain oil flow. Analysts from Wood Mackenzie and Rystad estimate that prolonged closure could push Brent crude toward $200 per barrel, while partial reopening under Iranian control might add $1–20 per barrel in geopolitical premiums.

Regional producers are investing in alternative export routes, but experts caution that new pipelines remain costly, vulnerable, and insufficient to offset Iran’s enduring strategic advantage.

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Amar Desh 05 Jun 26

হরমুজে ইরানের দাপট, সংকটে বিশ্ব অর্থনীতি | আমার দেশ

আমার দেশ অনলাইন প্রকাশ : ০৫ জুন ২০২৬, ১১: ০৯আপডেট : ০৫ জুন ২০২৬, ১৩: ০১ বিশ্ব অর্থনীতির ওপর নিয়ন্ত্রণ নিতে ইরানের নতুন অস্ত্র হরমুজ প্রণালি। ইরান এটি সহজে ছেড়ে দিতে প্রস্তুত নয়। তেহরান দেখিয়ে দিয়েছে তুলনামূলকভাবে কম ক্ষেপণাস্ত্র ও ড্রোন ব্যবহার কর


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