Analysts believe Iran’s economy will not collapse immediately despite the ongoing US naval blockade on its ports, imposed after Tehran closed the strategic Strait of Hormuz amid the Middle East conflict. The blockade, in effect since April 12, aims to pressure Iran into peace negotiations. Former US President Donald Trump claimed Iran is financially breaking down, but Iranian economist Saeed Laylaz told AFP that only a blockade lasting two to three months could cause serious harm, while Gulf states might suffer even more.
Energy experts warned that Iran’s main oil export terminal at Kharg Island could soon reach full storage capacity. Data from Kpler indicated that Iran’s crude oil production has already dropped by about 200,000 barrels per day and could fall by another 420,000 barrels in April. However, Jamie Ingram of the Middle East Economic Survey noted that Iran has previously endured long-term sanctions without major concessions.
Ali Vaez of the International Crisis Group added that while ordinary Iranians face growing pressure, the country’s leadership has shown resilience under severe economic strain, using control over the Strait of Hormuz as leverage.
আমার দেশ অনলাইন প্রকাশ : ২৪ এপ্রিল ২০২৬, ১৬: ১৫ ইরানের বন্দরগুলোতে মার্কিন নৌ-অবরোধের কারণে আগামী সপ্তাহগুলোতে দেশটির তেল উৎপাদন কমে যাওয়ার সম্ভাবনা থাকলেও, তেহরানের অর্থনীতি এখনই মুখ থুবড়ে পড়বে-এমন দাবিকে ‘অপরিণত’ বলে মনে করছেন বিশ্লেষকরা। মধ্যপ্রাচ
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