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US President Donald Trump stated that Washington is engaged in 'productive' talks with Iran, though Iranian officials denied the claim, accusing the US of spreading false information to ease pressure from rising oil prices. Reports suggest that Egypt, Turkey, and Pakistan have been facilitating secret contacts between American and Iranian officials, while experts remain doubtful about the possibility of a ceasefire.

Analysts believe Iran seeks not only a ceasefire but also a post-war environment that asserts its influence across the Middle East and the West while ensuring long-term economic and security guarantees. Despite US and Israeli claims that Iran’s missile capacity has been severely damaged, Iran has demonstrated continued strike capability. The country has also attacked Qatar’s main gas facility and launched missiles into southern Israel. Tehran now demands assurances against future attacks and new regulatory control over the Strait of Hormuz.

Experts warn that Iran is unlikely to relinquish control of the strategic waterway without major concessions, and any future peace deal could face resistance from the US and Gulf states.

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