Analysts believe the upcoming United States–Iran agreement could significantly weaken Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s long-standing strategic goals. Early reports suggest the new ceasefire and negotiation framework lacks key Israeli concerns, causing frustration in Tel Aviv. The framework, announced Sunday, reportedly omits restrictions on Iran’s ballistic missile program and its funding of allied groups in the Middle East. Israel fears that easing sanctions could strengthen Iran’s economy and indirectly support groups like Hezbollah and the Houthis, which have previously attacked Israel.

Uncertainty remains over how the deal will address Iran’s nuclear program, including its stockpile of enriched uranium and future enrichment rights. Further discussions are expected during a 60-day ceasefire. Netanyahu also faces domestic political pressure ahead of elections, with polls showing him trailing. His ally, US President Donald Trump, has recently criticized him while calling Iran’s new Supreme Leader pragmatic. Observers say Netanyahu’s recent strike near Beirut may have been politically motivated, but it risks appearing as an attempt to derail the US-Iran deal.

Analysts argue that if the agreement proceeds, it could make the 2015 nuclear deal appear comparatively effective, further questioning Netanyahu’s Iran policy.