The ongoing U.S. military involvement in the Iran war is being viewed as a major strategic victory for China, according to Alex Vatanka, a senior fellow at the Middle East Institute. In an interview with Al Jazeera, Vatanka said that the conflict is depleting American military resources and weakening Washington’s overall defense posture.

Vatanka noted that although the Taiwan issue was not officially on the agenda of the Trump–Xi Jinping summit, it remains an unavoidable topic. He questioned why the United States is investing so much blood and money in the Iran conflict when its long-term strategic challenge lies in a potential confrontation with China over Taiwan. He argued that the war is not strengthening but rather undermining U.S. military readiness.

According to Vatanka, while a Taiwan conflict is not imminent, Beijing is closely monitoring how the Iran war is draining U.S. capabilities. This situation, he said, represents a significant strategic win for China.