China is reassessing U.S. military strength after heavy American weapons use in the prolonged Iran war. Chinese analysts argue that Washington’s arsenal has been significantly depleted, weakening its ability to defend Taiwan effectively. According to U.S. defense assessments cited in the report, nearly half of America’s long-range stealth cruise missiles have been used since the conflict began in late February, and the number of Tomahawk missiles fired is about ten times the annual purchase volume.

Retired PLA Colonel Yue Gang said the situation exposes limits to U.S. global military dominance. Chinese commentators suggest that if the U.S. struggles against Iran, it may face even greater challenges countering China over Taiwan. Ahead of next week’s Trump–Xi summit, Beijing believes this could weaken President Trump’s diplomatic leverage, while China seeks stability and reduced U.S. support for Taiwan.

U.S. officials have rejected Beijing’s analysis, insisting that deterrence against China remains intact. Analysts note that China’s own military faces internal challenges, though the conflict has raised doubts among Asian allies about Washington’s reliability as a security partner.