A potential ceasefire agreement between the United States and Iran could create a strategic setback for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, according to Mirav Jonesjin, a senior analyst at the International Crisis Group. Speaking to Al Jazeera, Jonesjin said such a deal would prevent Israel from achieving its key objectives of regime change in Iran or the complete destruction of its nuclear capabilities.

Jonesjin added that while Netanyahu might claim some reduction in Iran’s military capacity, those effects would not last long. She also noted that former US President Donald Trump had expected a different outcome from the conflict, but now faces political and global economic pressures resulting from it.

According to Jonesjin, any agreement to end the war between the United States and Iran would effectively create what she described as a “near-nightmare scenario” for Netanyahu, underscoring the complex regional consequences of such a truce.